Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 771.336272 871.180979 982.911596 1117.946452 1277.706047 1461.908522 1692.126279
2025-03-02 631.637455 763.670769 925.227109 1140.446366 1424.255212 1792.463754 2317.813972
2025-03-09 552.318680 695.562105 880.634579 1142.788844 1513.925173 2035.766802 2854.369450
2025-03-16 489.015648 635.493216 832.942428 1126.673909 1567.429407 2230.753544 3361.585930
2025-03-23 450.685252 602.076293 813.977132 1143.509615 1665.373557 2503.263055 4053.771982
2025-03-30 405.890290 553.696225 766.615569 1109.346502 1675.797172 2634.298631 4534.078596
2025-04-06 369.628958 513.476056 725.971176 1078.637702 1684.388399 2760.111714 5035.314250
2025-04-13 337.624305 476.348554 685.751599 1042.646223 1676.835153 2853.011155 5494.214610
2025-04-20 324.649817 466.624082 686.580378 1073.804574 1791.427201 3197.283876 6609.605035
2025-04-27 308.652317 450.636570 675.523048 1082.616214 1865.294271 3475.417038 7673.517321
2025-05-04 296.834873 440.156995 672.211929 1104.242855 1966.661522 3833.638834 9090.895624
2025-05-11 282.583212 424.527087 658.666899 1105.170999 2025.991402 4111.296965 10409.808378
2025-05-18 273.091238 416.772712 659.186534 1135.278330 2157.721011 4609.524991 12728.697696
2025-05-25 263.286918 407.829515 656.983874 1160.372328 2285.132111 5141.185671 15548.022796
2025-06-01 251.183507 393.886760 644.288866 1162.364309 2359.652545 5555.033839 18247.459195
2025-06-08 237.752026 376.631267 623.956649 1145.969559 2387.419904 5846.459613 20688.240045
2025-06-15 229.770937 368.422386 619.756334 1163.162332 2501.599301 6436.669277 25091.911372
2025-06-22 216.198704 349.251199 593.088920 1128.250693 2475.795684 6576.346612 27343.925703
2025-06-29 204.147782 332.131046 569.142598 1096.871817 2454.436967 6727.542344 29861.307115
2025-07-06 192.429824 314.967217 543.931710 1060.102538 2412.799733 6798.901623 32014.490342
2025-07-13 188.930356 312.818136 548.289660 1091.933863 2568.940993 7647.792211 40675.702073
2025-07-20 183.280119 306.259464 543.219752 1100.936850 2661.562540 8298.004219 49128.823220
2025-07-27 179.237289 302.497049 543.555599 1123.034988 2798.609476 9196.812383 61891.035190